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Aviation Industry News

Aviation Industry Updates: August 4, 2020

By Industry News

United Threatens 3,900 Furloughs and Concessions | Will Other Carriers Follow Suit?

You’ve seen the headlines, some places even reported it as actual WARN letters, but where did the United Airlines 3,900 furlough number come from? Bryan Quigley, United’s Senior Vice President of Flight Operations at United Airlines addressed the Flight Ops Team on Thursday, July 30. To date, United has notified 2,250 pilots, however, in this recent memo Mr. Quigley is making it clear that the situation could worsen. Read More

Aviation Industry Updates: July 28, 2020

By Industry News

US Airlines Brace For Volatility in Second Half of 2020 | Who’s Going To Fail?

KEY POINTS:

  • “We think it will take domestic traffic three to five years to recover to 2019 levels, and international traffic five to seven years to recover,” says Helane Becker, senior research analyst who covers aviation for Cowen Securities, “especially if the virus remains uncontained.”

Read More

Aviation Industry Updates: July 21, 2020

By Industry News

Delta Pushes Concessions To Save Jobs | Bait & Switch or Furlough Mitigation?

Delta decreased their plans for recovery this summer; cutting its growth forecast from 1,000 flights added per day to 500 daily in August. According to John Laughter “demand is still down about 80%, and we don’t expect to see measurable improvement until the U.S. infection rates fall again. We’ve pulled back some of the additional flying we had on the August schedule and don’t foresee adding much back through the remainder of the year.” Read More

Aviation Industry Updates: July 5, 2020

By Industry News

Airline Recovery Slower Than Expected | Who’s Winning? Who’s Losing?

KEY POINTS:

  • “The recent uptick in coronavirus cases in the U.S. has many wondering about the economic impact of the continuing pandemic, especially how it plays out for the travel industry.”
  • “Goldman Sachs now expects the recovery in air travel to take at least an extra year — to 2023 instead of 2022 — to return to 2019 levels, according to the latest update to the firm’s COVID-19 recovery forecast”

Read More

Aviation Industry Updates: June 28, 2020

By Industry News

Delta Preparing to WARN 2,558 Pilots | Just Another Negotiating Tactic?

This past Friday (June 26) Delta Air Lines and DAL ALPA released LOA #20-02, “2020 Voluntary Early Out Program (VEOP)” to “incentivize pilots to retire in lieu of a possible involuntary reduction in pilots.”

In a separate memo from Director of Flight Operations, John Laughter, he reiterates his message from previous communications “early retirements alone likely won’t be enough to avoid pilot furloughs altogether.” Read More

Aviation Industry Updates: June 14, 2020

By Industry News

American Publishes Preliminary Displacement | Why So Different Than United & Delta?

The Preliminary American Airlines Displacement award for the September 2020 vacancy run has been published and it affects approximately 2,291 pilots. The final award is expected to be published on June 18th with an effective date of August 31, 2020. We will continue to monitor the airline and Allied Pilots Association union (APA) communications, as well as input from our clients, to provide you with accurate final results.

Bottom line, if you’re an airline, military, or corporate pilot looking for work, American’s displacement bid is optimistic news for you. While American may very well furlough enough pilots to significantly increase competition they may still furlough less than United and Delta. We will find out more as their bid process progresses. Read More

Aviation Industry Updates: June 7, 2020

By Industry News

United Publishes Second Displacement Bid | Management’s Math Inconsistent

Disclaimer: Our writers have spent the past week painstakingly verifying all information contained below and recognize a few limitations in United’s data. United does not publish dates of hire, only seniority numbers on their seniority list. Because of previous mergers, seniority numbers don’t easily correlate to dates of hire. Additionally, United’s bidding system is very complex which leads to constantly changing information. As such, we commit to keeping you updated as information changes and recognize some information may become inaccurate as bidding progresses.

United published their 2nd Pilot Displacement Bid on June 4, 2020 uprooting approximately 1,591 pilots. According to a memo published by United Airlines ALPA “this displacement was reduced more than 50 percent from what was originally planned only hours ago.” This comes on the heels of United’s first bid which occurred on May 2, 2020 and displaced over 4,700 pilots, as part of the company’s plan to cut the airline by 30%. Read More

Aviation Industry Updates: June 2, 2020

By Industry News

Delta Publishes 7,000+ Pilot Displacement Bid | What Does This Mean for Furlough?

KEY POINTS & HISTORICAL CONTEXT:

  • This displacement will affect 7,096 pilots of which 6,633 of those pilots will be displaced by force, not choice. This equates to over 47% of the Delta seniority list.
  • Anyone hired after December 2016, within the past 2 years and 3 months, will not be assigned an aircraft. This means approximately 2,327, 16% of their pilots, are in severe danger of possible furlough.
  • For historical comparison, post 9/11, airlines saw a 30% traffic decline, similar to the projections airline executives are currently making for the Covid-19 recovery.
  • Prior to 9/11, if you were to combine their seniority lists, Northwest and Delta employed 13,753 pilots. Post 9/11 they furloughed a combined 1,988 pilots which was 15% of their seniority list.
  • Currently, the most junior Captain at Delta was hired in mid-2018. After displacements and furloughs are complete, a junior Captain will be around a February 2001 hire date.

BOTTOM LINE: Read More